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Can Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited's (SZSE:000869) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?

Can Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited's (SZSE:000869) Weak Financials Pull The Plug On The Stock's Current Momentum On Its Share Price?

张裕b(SZSE:000869)的疲弱财务状况会让股价的当前势头受挫吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/23 18:01

Most readers would already be aware that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's (SZSE:000869) stock increased significantly by 19% over the past month. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE.

大多数读者可能已经意识到,张裕b(SZSE:000869)的股票在过去一个月内大幅上涨了19%。然而,在这篇文章中,我们决定关注其薄弱的基本面,因为业务的长期财务表现最终决定了市场的结果。在这篇文章中,我们决定关注张裕b的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

roe,即净资产收益率,是一种评估公司如何有效地从股东手中获取投资回报的有用工具。换句话说,它是一种盈利能力比率,衡量公司股东提供的资本的回报率。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is:

因此,根据上述公式,张裕b的ROE为:

3.7% = CN¥397m ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

3.7% = CN¥39700万 ÷ CN¥110亿(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.04 in profit.

“回报率”是税后在过去12个月内赚取的金额。这意味着对于每CN¥1的股东权益价值,公司产生了CN¥0.04的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到ROE衡量了公司有效地利用其利润的能力。根据公司再投资或“保留”的利润量以及公司再投资利润的效果,我们就能评估公司的盈利增长潜力。一般来说,其他条件相同,ROE高和盈利保留公司的成长率比没有这些属性的公司更高。

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Earnings Growth And 3.7% ROE

张裕b的盈利增长和3.7%的roe

It is quite clear that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 17%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 21% seen by Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很明显,张裕b的roe相当低。即使与行业平均水平的17%相比,roe数据令人失望。考虑到情况,张裕b过去五年净利润大幅下降21%,这并不令人意外。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,公司的股息支付比率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

That being said, we compared Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将张裕b的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现虽然公司收入减少,但同样是在过去5年期间,行业的收入增长率达到了15%,我们感到担忧。

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SZSE:000869 Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2024
SZSE:000869过去盈利增长历史数据2024年10月23日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增长是股票估值的重要因素。投资者应该试图确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论哪种情况,是否已反映在股价中。这样做将有助于他们判断股票的未来是看涨还是看跌。与其他公司相比,张裕b是否被公平估值?这3个估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

张裕b是否正在有效利用其利润?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 64% (implying that 36% of the profits are retained), most of Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only a little being reinvested into the business, earnings growth would obviously be low or non-existent.

净利润三年中位支付比率高达64%(意味着36%的利润被保留),大部分张裕b的利润都支付给股东,这解释了公司盈利的下降。由于很少有资金再投资到业务中,盈利增长显然会较低或不存在。

Additionally, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

此外,张裕b在至少十年的时间里支付了股息,这意味着公司的管理层决心支付股息,即使这意味着几乎没有盈利增长。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,张裕b的表现令人大失所望。由于roe较低且未对业务进行大量再投资,该公司的盈利增长率令人失望。尽管如此,根据目前的分析师预测,我们发现该公司的盈利增长率有望得到巨大改善。要了解更多关于该公司最新分析师预测的信息,请查看这些对该公司的分析师预测的可视化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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