SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd (SZSE:002218) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd (SZSE:002218) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002218) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
当大卫·伊本说'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 似乎聪明的资金知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时的一个非常重要因素。 我们注意到SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR股份有限公司(SZSE:002218)的资产负债表上确实有债务。 但这个债务会让股东担忧吗?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可在业务还款出现困难时协助业务,无论是通过新资本还是通过自由现金流。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所获。然而,更常见的(但仍然昂贵的)情况是,公司必须简单地以便宜的股价稀释股东,以控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,没有任何负面影响。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先看现金和债务的总和。
What Is SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd's Net Debt?
拓日新能有净债务吗?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd had debt of CN¥1.90b, up from CN¥1.64b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥769.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.13b.
下面的图片显示,在2024年6月,拓日新能的债务为19亿人民币,比一年前的16.4亿人民币增加。 但由于拥有76990万人民币的现金储备,净债务更少,约为11.3亿人民币。
How Healthy Is SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd's Balance Sheet?
SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd had liabilities of CN¥875.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.79b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥769.9m and CN¥1.53b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥370.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据最近报告的资产负债表,SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR有限公司有12个月内到期的负债为87520万人民币,12个月后到期的负债为17.9亿人民币。另一方面,现金为76990万人民币,应收账款1年内到期15.3亿人民币。因此,其负债总额比其现金和近期应收账款合计高出37000万人民币。
Since publicly traded SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥5.17b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由于上市的SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR有限公司股份总值51.7亿人民币,这种水平的负债似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。尽管如此,显然我们应继续监视其资产负债表,以免情况变坏。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。
While SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.8, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Even worse, SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd saw its EBIT tank 27% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
虽然SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR有限公司的债务与EBITDA比率(2.8)表明它使用了一些债务,但其利息盈利覆盖率非常薄弱,仅为1.8,表明其杠杆很高。在很大程度上,这是因为公司的折旧和摊销费用相当大,这可能意味着其EBITDA是一种非常慷慨的盈利衡量标准,而且其债务可能比表面看起来更加沉重。因此,股东们应该意识到利息支出似乎最近确实对业务产生了影响。更糟糕的是,SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR有限公司在过去的12个月中看到其EBIT暴跌了27%。如果收益在长期内继续下降,那么解决这笔债务的可能性几乎为零。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要关注的领域。但你不能孤立地看待债务;因为SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR有限公司需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收益的信息,不妨查看其长期收益趋势图。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd reported free cash flow worth 13% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.
最终,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们始终检查EBIt中有多少被转化为自由现金流。过去三年,SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR公司报告的自由现金流值相当于其EBIt的13%,这真的相当低。这种脆弱的现金转换水平削弱了其管理和偿还债务的能力。
Our View
我们的观点
On the face of it, SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLARLtd (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
表面上看,SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR公司的利息覆盖率令我们对股票持谨慎态度,其EBIt增长率并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚里空无一人的餐馆更具吸引力。但美好的一面是,其总负债水平是一个好迹象,让我们更加乐观。总体而言,我们认为可以公平地说,SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR公司负债足够多,其资产负债表存在一些真实风险。如果一切顺利,这应该会提高回报,但相反,债务会提高永久性资本损失的风险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在不属于资产负债表的风险。我们已经发现了SHENZHEN TOPRAYSOLAR公司的3个警示信号(至少有1个让我们有点不舒服),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。
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