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Results: Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology Co., Ltd. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Results: Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology Co., Ltd. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

结果:佩蒂股份营养科技有限公司的业绩超出预期,共识已更新其估计。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/25 06:19

Shareholders of Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300673) will be pleased this week, given that the stock price is up 15% to CN¥15.98 following its latest third-quarter results. It looks to have been a decent result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥477m, statutory earnings beat expectations by a notable 70%, coming in at CN¥0.23 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

佩蒂股份(SZSE:300673)的股东们将在本周感到高兴,因为股价上涨了15%,达到了15.98人民币。这是基于最新的第三季度业绩。整体来看,结果还不错 - 尽管营业收入略低于分析师预期的47700万元,但法定收益大幅超出了预期,达到0.23元/股,超过了预期的70%。分析师们通常会在每份业绩报告后更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估计中判断他们对公司的看法是否有所改变,或者是否有任何需要注意的新问题。考虑到这一点,我们汇总了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师们对明年的预期。

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SZSE:300673 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 24th 2024
SZSE:300673 2024年10月24日的收入和盈利增长

After the latest results, the ten analysts covering Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.31b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a major 27% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to climb 12% to CN¥0.80. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥2.31b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.77 in 2025. The analysts seems to have become more bullish on the business, judging by their new earnings per share estimates.

根据最新的结果,现在有十位分析师对佩蒂股份在2025年的营收预测为23.1亿人民币。如果达到这个水平,相比过去12个月,这将反映出营收的重大增长27%。预期每股收益将增长12%至0.80元。在这份报告之前,分析师们曾模拟2025年的营收为231亿,并预计每股收益(EPS) 为0.77元。分析师似乎对业务变得更加看好,从他们的新每股收益预测可以看出。

The consensus price target rose 9.2% to CN¥17.46, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology at CN¥20.50 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥13.75. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology shareholders.

共识价格目标上涨了9.2%至17.46元,表明更高的盈利预期也会反映到股票估值上。然而,过于固执于单一价格目标可能不明智,因为共识目标实际上是分析师价格目标的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢查看估计范围,以查看对公司估值是否存在不同意见。目前,最看好的分析师认为佩蒂股份股价为20.50元,而最看淡的分析师认为股价为13.75元。分析师对该业务的看法确实各异,但在我们看来,估计的范围不足以表明佩蒂股份的股东可能面临极端的结果。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 21% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.9% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 11% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology to grow faster than the wider industry.

从更大的视角看,我们理解这些预测的一种方式是将其与过去的表现和行业增长预测进行对比。分析师们明显预计佩蒂股份的增长将加速,到2025年底的预测年增长率为21%,与过去五年8.9%的历史增长率相比排名靠前。将其与同行业的其他公司进行比较,它们的营业收入预计每年增长11%。显然,尽管增长前景优于最近的过去,分析师们也预计佩蒂股份的增速将快于整个行业。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

这里最重要的是分析师们提高了他们对每股收益的预估,暗示着这些结果后市对佩蒂股份的乐观情绪明显增加。令人高兴的是,营业收入预测没有发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。价格目标也有不错的增加,分析师们明显感觉到企业内在价值正在提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

延伸这种思路,我们认为企业的长期前景比明年的收益更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对佩蒂股份到2026年的各项分析师预测都有,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

It might also be worth considering whether Petpal Pet Nutrition Technology's debt load is appropriate, using our debt analysis tools on the Simply Wall St platform, here.

还值得考虑的是使用Simply Wall St平台上我们的债务分析工具,来评估佩蒂股份的债务负担是否合适,请点击此处。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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