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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' (SZSE:003015) Earnings

投資家は江蘇省日九光電(SZSE:003015)の収益にあまり安心すべきではありません

Simply Wall St ·  10/24 17:35

Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics Jointstock Co., Ltd (SZSE:003015) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. However, our analysis suggests that shareholders may be missing some factors that indicate the earnings result was not as good as it looked.

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SZSE:003015 Earnings and Revenue History October 24th 2024

Zooming In On Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics recorded an accrual ratio of -0.11. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥142m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥36.1m. Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥8.7m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' Profit Performance

In conclusion, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Our examination of Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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