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There's Reason For Concern Over GrandiT Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688549) Massive 72% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 25 00:45

GrandiT Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688549) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 72% after a shaky period beforehand. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 3.3% isn't as impressive.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may consider GrandiT as a stock not worth researching with its 13.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SHSE:688549 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2024

What Does GrandiT's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at GrandiT over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GrandiT's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is GrandiT's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like GrandiT's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 76% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that GrandiT's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in GrandiT have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We didn't expect to see GrandiT trade at such a high P/S considering its last three-year revenue growth has only been on par with the rest of the industry. When we see average revenue with industry-like growth combined with a high P/S, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with the industry too. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for GrandiT that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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