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We Think Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology (SZSE:300047) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 25 08:11

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300047) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology had CN¥2.47b of debt, up from CN¥1.77b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥130.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥2.34b.

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SZSE:300047 Debt to Equity History October 25th 2024

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥187.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥130.8m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.92b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.26b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥9.08b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 15.4, it's fair to say Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Looking on the bright side, Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology boosted its EBIT by a silky 34% in the last year. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology (at least 3 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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