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Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd. Just Beat EPS By 35%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd. Just Beat EPS By 35%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

新和成公司刚刚以35%的幅度击败了每股收益:分析师认为接下来会发生什么
Simply Wall St ·  10/25 18:03

Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd. (SZSE:002001) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations. Zhejiang NHU delivered a significant beat to revenue and earnings per share (EPS) expectations, hitting CN¥5.9b-20% above indicated-andCN¥0.58-35% above forecasts- respectively Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

新和成公司股份有限公司(SZSE:002001)打破了分析师的预测,发布了其第三季度业绩,超出了市场预期。 新和成的营收和每股收益(EPS)超出预期,达到了人民币59亿,比预测值高20%和人民币0.58,分别高出了35%。盈利对投资者来说是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的表现,查看分析师对明年的预测,以及查看对公司情绪是否有变化。我们收集了最新的法定预测,以查看分析师是否在这些结果公布后改变了其盈利模型。

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SZSE:002001 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 25th 2024
SZSE:002001 2024年10月25日营收和盈利增长

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Zhejiang NHU's eleven analysts is for revenues of CN¥21.6b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 8.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to ascend 14% to CN¥1.71. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥21.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.65 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Zhejiang NHU's earnings potential following these results.

考虑到最新的结果,来自新和成的十一位分析师的共识是2025年营收为人民币216亿。这将反映其过去12个月营收的不错增长8.8%。预测法定每股收益将上升14%至人民币1.71。然而,在最新盈利公布之前,分析师们曾预计2025年营收为人民币212亿,每股收益为人民币1.65。所以共识似乎在这些结果发布后对新和成的盈利潜力变得更加乐观。

The consensus price target rose 8.1% to CN¥25.41, suggesting that higher earnings estimates flow through to the stock's valuation as well. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhejiang NHU at CN¥32.61 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥16.80. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

共识价格目标上调8.1%至人民币25.41,表明更高的盈利预期也会通过股价估值体现。不过,还有另一种方法来看待价格目标,那就是查看分析师提出的一系列价格目标,因为广泛的估值范围可能意味着对业务可能结果有着不同看法。目前,最看好的分析师认为新和成每股价值人民币32.61,而最看淡的给出人民币16.80。注意到分析师价格目标的较大差距了吗?这对我们意味着对基础业务可能出现了相当广泛的区间情况。

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Zhejiang NHU's past performance and to peers in the same industry. We would highlight that Zhejiang NHU's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.0% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 16% p.a. growth over the last five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 15% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Zhejiang NHU is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

这些预测很有趣,但在比较预测时,可以对新和成过去的表现以及同行业同行进行更广泛的概括更有帮助。我们要强调,预计新和成的营收增长将放缓,预测2025年底前的年增长率为7.0%,远远低于过去五年历史16%的年增长率。将其与同行业其他公司(根据分析师预测)进行比较,其预计每年收入增长15%。考虑到增长放缓的预测,显而易见新和成也预计增长速度比其他行业参与者慢。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Zhejiang NHU's earnings potential next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

对我们来说最重要的是一致的每股收益升级,这表明了市场对新和成明年盈利潜力的看法明显改善。另外,营业收入预测没有发生重大变化;尽管预测表明他们的表现将不如整个行业。股价目标也出现了不错的增长,分析师明显感觉到公司内在价值正在提升。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhejiang NHU going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

继续思考这一线路,我们认为公司的长期前景比明年的盈利更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对新和成的分析师预测范围延伸至2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Zhejiang NHU you should know about.

那风险呢?每家公司都有风险,我们发现了新和成1个警示标志,你应该知道。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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