Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000586) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 40% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's P/S ratio of 4.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Communications industry in China is also close to 5.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's Revenue Growth Trending?
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 21% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 39% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Sichuan Huiyuan Optical Communication with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.