Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688290) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 14% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may consider Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 13.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology Has Been Performing
Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 111% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 23%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we can see why Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Machinery industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hangzhou Jingye Intelligent Technology (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.