Despite an already strong run, Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies Ltd. (SZSE:002808) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 54% share price drop in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies?
Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 8.4%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 57% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
The fact that Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Suzhou Goldengreen Technologies is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit unpleasant.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.