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Earnings Report: Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 17%

Earnings Report: Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. Missed Revenue Estimates By 17%

盈利报告:中福神鹰碳纤维股份有限公司营业收入估计不达预期17%
Simply Wall St ·  10/26 20:23

Investors in Zhongfu Shenying Carbon Fiber Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688295) had a good week, as its shares rose 3.7% to close at CN¥22.18 following the release of its third-quarter results. Revenues were CN¥380m, 17% below analyst expectations, although losses didn't appear to worsen significantly, with a per-share statutory loss of CN¥0.35 being in line with what the analysts forecast. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

中福申英碳纤维股份有限公司(SHSE:688295)的投资者度过了美好的一周,股价上涨了3.7%,收于22.18元人民币,这是第三季度成绩公布后的结果。营业收入为38000万人民币,比分析师的预期低了17%,尽管损失似乎并未显著加剧,每股亏损为0.35元人民币,与分析师的预测保持一致。对于投资者来说,现在是一个重要的时刻,他们可以通过公司的报告追踪公司的业绩,看看专家们对明年的预测是什么,以及业务的预期是否有任何变化。考虑到这一点,我们汇集了最新的法定预测,看看分析师对明年有什么期待。

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SHSE:688295 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024
SHSE:688295 2024年10月27日收益和营业收入增长

After the latest results, the nine analysts covering Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd are now predicting revenues of CN¥2.63b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a major 49% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 1,933% to CN¥0.37. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.64b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.35 in 2025. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd's earnings potential following these results.

在最新的结果公布后,现有9名分析师对中福申英碳纤维有限公司预测2025年的营收将达到26.3亿人民币。如果实现,这将反映出与过去12个月相比营业收入大幅增长49%。法定每股收益预计将增长1933%,达到0.37人民币。然而,在最新收益公布之前,分析师曾预期2025年的营收为26.4亿人民币,每股收益(EPS)为0.35人民币。因此,似乎舆论对中福申英碳纤维有限公司的盈利潜力更为乐观。

The consensus price target was unchanged at CN¥28.18, implying that the improved earnings outlook is not expected to have a long term impact on value creation for shareholders. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd analyst has a price target of CN¥40.98 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥20.01. As you can see the range of estimates is wide, with the lowest valuation coming in at less than half the most bullish estimate, suggesting there are some strongly diverging views on how analysts think this business will perform. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

共识价格目标保持在28.18人民币,这意味着改善的盈利前景不会对股东价值的长期创造产生影响。然而,从这些数据我们还可以得出另一个结论,一些投资者在评估分析师的价格目标时也喜欢考虑估计的差距。最乐观的中福申英碳纤维分析师给出的目标价格是40.98人民币每股,而最悲观者则认为是20.01人民币。可以看到,估值范围很大,最低估值不到最乐观估值的一半,这表明分析师对这家企业的表现存在一些明显分歧。因此,基于共识价格目标做决策可能不是一个好主意,毕竟这只是对这一广泛估计范围的平均值。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 37% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 23% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 15% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

另一种查看这些预测的方法是将其放在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去表现的对比以及预测与行业其他公司相比看好与否。分析师明显预期中福神鹰碳纤维有限公司的增长将加速,预测到2025年底的37%年增长率与过去五年的23%年增长率相比表现出色。与同行业其他公司相比,这些公司预计每年营收增长15%。考虑到预测的营业收入加速增长,很明显中福神鹰碳纤维有限公司预计将比行业增长更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd's earnings potential next year. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

对我们来说最重要的一点是共识每股收益的升级,这表明对中福神鹰碳纤维有限公司明年收益潜力的情绪明显改善。令人高兴的是,营收预测没有发生重大变化,业务仍预计增长速度将快于整个行业。共识价值目标没有发生实质性变化,表明业务的内在价值在最新预测中未发生任何重大变化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

话虽这么说,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年更重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们为中福神鹰碳纤维有限公司2026年的所有分析师预测提供完整范围,并您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 2 warning signs for Zhongfu Shenying Carbon FiberLtd that we have uncovered.

在您进一步探索之前,您应该了解我们发现的中福神鹰碳纤维有限公司的2个警告信号。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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