Earnings Miss: Here's What Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300316) Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
Earnings Miss: Here's What Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300316) Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year
As you might know, Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300316) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. The analysts look to have been far too optimistic in the lead-up to these results, with revenues of (CN¥4.3b) coming in 28% below what they had expected. Statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.66 fell 30% short. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical after the latest results.
正如您所知,浙江景升机电股份有限公司(SZSE:300316)上周发布了最新的季度报告,对股东来说并不十分乐观。分析师似乎在这些结果公布前过于乐观,营业收入为43亿元人民币,比他们预期的低了28%。每股盈利0.66元人民币,也比预期低了30%。盈利是投资者重要的时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的表现,查看分析师对明年的预测,并了解对公司的看法是否有变化。读者会很高兴地知道,我们已经汇集了最新的财务预测,以查看分析师在最新财报后是否改变了对浙江景升机电的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's eight analysts is for revenues of CN¥21.4b in 2025. This would reflect a decent 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 17% to CN¥3.59. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥21.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.66 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
考虑到最新的结果,浙江景升机电的八位分析师目前一致预测2025年的营业收入为214亿元人民币。这将反映出其过去12个月营业收入的不错增长率为13%。据预测,每股盈利将增长17%,达到3.59元人民币。在这份盈利报告发布之前,分析师预测2025年的营业收入为218亿元人民币,每股盈利为3.66元。一致的分析师似乎没有从这些结果中看到任何能改变他们对业务看法的事情,因为他们的估计没有发生重大变化。
The consensus price target rose 9.8% to CN¥33.46despite there being no meaningful change to earnings estimates. It could be that the analystsare reflecting the predictability of Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's earnings by assigning a price premium. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical analyst has a price target of CN¥43.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at CN¥25.00. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical shareholders.
尽管盈利预期没有实质性变化,一致的价格目标上调了9.8%,达到33.46元人民币,可能是分析师通过提高价格溢价反映了浙江景升机电的盈利可预测性。然而,从这些数据中我们得出的结论不只是这一点,因为一些投资者在评估分析师价格目标时也喜欢考虑预期间的估算差距。最乐观的浙江景升机电分析师预测每股价格为43.00元人民币,而最悲观的则为25.00元人民币。分析师对业务的看法确实存在差异,但根据我们的观点,这些估值差距并不足以暗示极端结果等待着浙江景升机电的股东们。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 10% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 41% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 22% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical.
这些估算很有趣,但在比较预测时,可以更广泛地描绘一些概况,既包括与浙江精盛机电的过去表现比较,也包括与同行业同行的比较。很明显,人们预计浙江精盛机电的营业收入增长将大幅放缓,预计到2025年底的营业收入增长率将按年计算为10%。这与过去五年的历史增长率41%相比。 拿其他受到分析师关注的同行业公司作为比较,预计它们的年营收增长率为22%。 因此很明显,尽管预计营收增长将放缓,但更广泛的行业也预计将比浙江精盛机电增长更快。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.
最重要的一点是,市场情绪没有发生重大变化,分析师重申业务表现与先前每股收益预测一致。 幸运的是,分析师也重申营业收入预测,表明它与预期保持一致。 尽管我们的数据显示,浙江精盛机电的营收预计将低于更广泛的行业。 我们注意到了价格目标的提升,表明分析师认为该业务的内在价值可能会随时间改善。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.
话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年更加重要。 我们有估算 - 来自多位浙江精盛机电分析师 - 一直到2026年的预测数据,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
尽管如此,您应始终考虑风险。 例如,我们发现 浙江精盛机电 存在3个警示信号,其中1个对我们来说不太理想。
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