Bank of Changsha's (SHSE:601577) One-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
Bank of Changsha's (SHSE:601577) One-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
The simplest way to invest in stocks is to buy exchange traded funds. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. To wit, the Bank of Changsha Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601577) share price is 10% higher than it was a year ago, much better than the market return of around 5.2% (not including dividends) in the same period. That's a solid performance by our standards! However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 3.2% in the last three years.
投資股票最簡單的方式是買入交易所交易基金。但是,通過挑選高於平均水平的股票,您可以顯著提高回報。以長沙銀行股份有限公司(SHSE:601577)爲例,股價比一年前高了10%,遠高於同期市場回報約5.2%(不包括分紅)。按照我們的標準,這是一種穩健的表現!然而,長期回報並不算太令人印象深刻,過去三年股票僅上漲了3.2%。
In light of the stock dropping 3.4% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive one-year return.
考慮到股價在過去一週下跌了3.4%,我們希望調查長期的情況,看看基本面是否推動了該公司積極的一年回報。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者情緒,不僅僅是基本業績。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司周圍情緒如何變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Bank of Changsha was able to grow EPS by 11% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 10% increase in the share price. So this implies that investor expectations of the company have remained pretty steady. It makes intuitive sense that the share price and EPS would grow at similar rates.
長沙銀行在過去十二個月內將每股收益增長了11%。這種每股收益增長與股價的10%增長相當接近。因此,這意味着對該公司的投資者預期保持了相當穩定。股價和每股收益以類似的速度增長是合乎常理的。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

We know that Bank of Changsha has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.
我們知道長沙銀行最近已經改善了其底線,但是否會增長營業收入?這份免費報告顯示的分析師營收預測應該可以幫助您確定EPS增長是否可持續。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Bank of Changsha's TSR for the last 1 year was 15%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考慮任何特定股票的股東總回報以及股價回報是很重要的。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設已經再投資任何分紅)和任何折現的增資和分拆的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了更全面的股票回報畫面。事實上,長沙銀行過去1年的TSR爲15%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that Bank of Changsha has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 15% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Bank of Changsha better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Bank of Changsha , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高興看到長沙銀行在過去十二個月內以15%的股東總回報回報股東。 這還包括股息。 由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者每年爲3%),似乎股票的表現近期有所提高。在最理想的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務勢頭,這可能意味着現在可能是深入研究的好時機。 長期跟蹤股價表現總是令人感興趣。 但要更好地了解長沙銀行,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。 例如,要考慮投資風險的長期伴隨。 我們已經確定了1個與長沙銀行有關的警示信號,理解這些應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。
We will like Bank of Changsha better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大額內部人員購買股票,我們將更喜歡長沙銀行。在等待的時候,請查看這份免費的低估股票清單(主要是小市值股票),其中包含相當多近期的內部人員購買。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。