Lotus Horizon Holdings Limited (HKG:6063) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 144% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Lotus Horizon Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.5x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How Lotus Horizon Holdings Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Lotus Horizon Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lotus Horizon Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Lotus Horizon Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Lotus Horizon Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 9.9% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 10% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Lotus Horizon Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does Lotus Horizon Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?
Despite the recent share price weakness, Lotus Horizon Holdings' P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Lotus Horizon Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Lotus Horizon Holdings (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lotus Horizon Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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