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Results: West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

Results: West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

结果:west pharmaceutical services公司超出了盈利预期,分析师现在有了新的预测。
Simply Wall St ·  10/27 08:12

As you might know, West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (NYSE:WST) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with some very strong numbers. The company beat forecasts, with revenue of US$747m, some 5.3% above estimates, and statutory earnings per share (EPS) coming in at US$1.85, 27% ahead of expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

正如您所知,West Pharmaceutical Services股份有限公司(NYSE:WST)刚刚公布了其最新季度业绩,数字表现非常强劲。公司超出预测,营业收入为7,4700万美元,比预期高出5.3%,每股收益为1.85美元,比预期高出27%。分析师通常会在每份财报后更新他们的预测,我们可以根据他们的估算来判断公司的情况是否改变,或者是否有任何需要注意的新问题。我们收集了最新的官方预测,以查看分析师是否已经根据这些结果改变了他们的盈利模型。

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NYSE:WST Earnings and Revenue Growth October 27th 2024
纽交所:WSt 第四季度2024年10月27日的收益和营业收入增长

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from West Pharmaceutical Services' ten analysts is for revenues of US$3.06b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 6.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 8.5% to US$7.49. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.07b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$7.74 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

考虑到最新的结果,West Pharmaceutical Services的十位分析师目前普遍预计2025年的营业收入为30.6亿美元。这将反映过去12个月收入的良好6.5%增长。预计每股收益将上升8.5%,达到7.49美元。然而,在最新财报公布前,分析师预期2025年的营业收入为30.7亿美元,每股收益为7.74美元。因此,看起来最近的结果后总体情绪有所下降 - 收入预测并没有发生重大变化,但分析师的每股收益预测的确有所减少。

Althoughthe analysts have revised their earnings forecasts for next year, they've also lifted the consensus price target 5.5% to US$361, suggesting the revised estimates are not indicative of a weaker long-term future for the business. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic West Pharmaceutical Services analyst has a price target of US$470 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$265. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

尽管分析师已修订下一年的盈利预测,但他们也将一致看法的目标价提高了5.5%,达到361美元,表明修订的预测并不暗示企业未来长期表现不佳。然而,从这些数据中我们还可以得出另一个结论,因为一些投资者在评估分析师目标价时也喜欢考虑估算范围。最乐观的West Pharmaceutical Services分析师将目标价设定为每股470美元,而最悲观的则为265美元。正如您所看到的,分析师对股票的未来看法并不都一致,但估算范围仍然相当狭窄,这可能表明结果并不完全不可预测。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that West Pharmaceutical Services' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 5.2% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.8% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.5% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than West Pharmaceutical Services.

当然,观察这些预测的另一种方式是将它们放入行业本身的背景之中。相当明显的是,人们预计西制药服务公司的营业收入增长将大幅放缓,到2025年底预计以年均增长5.2%的速度增长。与过去五年9.8%的历史增长率相比,这要低很多。相比之下,覆盖分析师的该行业其他公司预计每年将实现6.5%的营收增长。因此,明显可见,虽然营收增长预计放缓,但整个行业也预计增速将快于西制药服务公司。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for West Pharmaceutical Services. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

最大的担忧在于分析师降低了他们的每股收益预测,表明西制药服务公司可能面临业务阻力。好消息是,营收预测没有发生重大变化;尽管预测表明它们的表现将不如整个行业。此外,股价目标也出现了惊人的增长,分析师明显认为企业的内在价值正在提高。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for West Pharmaceutical Services going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

继上述思路后,我们认为企业的长期前景比明年的盈利更为重要。我们对西制药服务公司截至2026年的预测,并您可在我们的平台上免费查阅。

Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.

另一件需要考虑的事情是管理层和董事最近是否在买卖股票。在我们的平台上,您可以查看过去12个月所有公开市场股票交易的概述。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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