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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Neogen Corporation (NASDAQ:NEOG)

株主へのリターンに対するリスクは、ネオゲン・コーポレーション(ナスダック:ネオゲン)のこれらの価格では高まっています

Simply Wall St ·  10/27 10:05

There wouldn't be many who think Neogen Corporation's (NASDAQ:NEOG) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Medical Equipment industry in the United States is similar at about 3.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGS:NEOG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 27th 2024

What Does Neogen's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Neogen could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Neogen will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Neogen's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Neogen's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 87% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.9% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.4% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Neogen's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Neogen's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Neogen with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of Neogen's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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