Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s (SHSE:600679) stock up by 8.0% over the past three months. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s ROE.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
How Is ROE Calculated?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) is:
2.8% = CN¥64m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.
What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE
As you can see, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.1%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s five year net income decline of 28% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.
As a next step, we compared Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s performance with the industry and found thatShanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 2.6% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (implying that it retains the remaining 80% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
Moreover, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.
Summary
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) visit our risks dashboard for free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.