share_log

Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd (SZSE:002873) Shareholders Notch a 7.6% CAGR Over 5 Years, yet Earnings Have Been Shrinking

貴陽新天製薬株式会社(SZSE:002873)株主は5年間で7.6%のCAGRを達成していますが、利益は減少しています。

Simply Wall St ·  10/28 09:19

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Guiyang Xintian Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002873) shareholders have enjoyed a 40% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 16% (not including dividends).

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings per share are down 1.0% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

We doubt the modest 0.6% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 7.1% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

big
SZSE:002873 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2024

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd, it has a TSR of 45% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd had a tough year, with a total loss of 3.5% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 7.4%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Guiyang Xintian PharmaceuticalLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする