Ningbo Fubang Jingye Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600768) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.9% over the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.4x, you may consider Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 3.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 17% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Ningbo Fubang Jingye GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.