share_log

Shenzhen Tellus Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000025) 27% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

shenzhen tellus holding株式会社(SZSE:000025)の27%のシェア価格急上昇は完全に合致していません

Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/28 15:06

Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Tellus Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000025) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Tellus Holding's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 55.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 34x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shenzhen Tellus Holding has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

big
SZSE:000025 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Tellus Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shenzhen Tellus Holding would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 60% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 78% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 39% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Tellus Holding's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shenzhen Tellus Holding's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Shenzhen Tellus Holding currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Tellus Holding that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Tellus Holding's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする