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Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002175) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 28, 2024 23:26

Despite an already strong run, Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002175) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 18% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SZSE:002175 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024

How Has Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen firmly for Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.9%. Revenue has also lifted 25% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology's P/S?

Shares in Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guangxi Oriental Intelligent Manufacturing Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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