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Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603501) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603501) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

韦尔股份有限公司(SHSE:603501)第三季度业绩:分析师对明年的预测是什么
Simply Wall St ·  10/28 18:44

Shareholders might have noticed that Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603501) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.4% to CN¥111 in the past week. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of CN¥6.8b being 3.4% less than what the analysts had been modelling. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

股东可能已经注意到,上周同期,韦尔股份公司(SHSE:603501)公布了其第三季度的业绩。早期反应并不乐观,股价在过去一周下跌了2.4%,至111元人民币。整体业绩相对疲弱,营业收入为68亿人民币,比分析师预测的少了3.4%。在发布业绩后,分析师们已经更新了他们的盈利模型,了解他们是否认为公司前景有显著变化,或者一切仍照常进行将是很重要的。考虑到这一点,我们已经收集了最新的财务预测,以了解分析师对明年的预期。

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SHSE:603501 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2024
SHSE:603501 2024年10月28日盈利和营收增长

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Will Semiconductor's 28 analysts is for revenues of CN¥31.6b in 2025. This reflects a sizeable 27% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 75% to CN¥3.74. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥31.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.73 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考虑到最新的结果,韦尔股份的28位分析师一致预测,2025年营业收入将达到316亿人民币。这较过去12个月的营收增长了27%。法定每股收益预计将增长75%,达到3.74元。然而,在最新业绩公布之前,分析师们此前预期2025年的营收达到316亿人民币,每股收益为3.73元。因此,很明显,尽管分析师已更新了他们的预测,但在最新业绩之后,对企业的预期并没有发生重大变化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥130. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Will Semiconductor at CN¥165 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥80.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

毫无疑问,共识价值目标基本上仍未变化,仍为130元人民币。然而,还有另一种看待价格目标的方式,那就是查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为广泛的估价范围可能暗示对企业可能结果有各种看法。 目前,最看好的分析师认为韦尔股份的每股价值为165元人民币,而最看跌的价格为80.00元人民币。注意到分析师价格目标的广泛差异?这对我们意味着该公司的潜在业务存在着相当广泛的可能情景。

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Will Semiconductor's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 21% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.2% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 23% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Will Semiconductor is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

我们可以以更大的格局来看待这些预测,比如将预测与过去业绩进行比较,并分析预测相对于行业其他公司而言是更看好还是更看淡。 分析师绝对预计韦尔股份的增长将加速,到2025年底的预测年增长率为21%,相较于过去五年每年7.2%的历史增长,排名较高。 行业其他类似公司(有分析师覆盖)预计也将以每年23%的速度增长其营收。 预计营收加速增长后,很明显韦尔股份预计将以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,分析师再次确认业务绩效符合他们之前的每股收益估计值。他们还确认了营收预测,预计该公司将以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。共识价格目标没有实质性变化,这表明业务内在价值没有随着最新估算发生任何重大变化。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Will Semiconductor going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

铭记在心的是,我们仍然认为业务的长期趋势对于投资者来说更加重要。我们对韦尔股份的2026年预测已经公布在我们的平台上,您可以免费查看。

You can also see whether Will Semiconductor is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

您还可以免费在我们的平台上查看韦尔股份是否负债过多,以及资产负债表是否健康。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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