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Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603501) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 29, 2024 06:44

Shareholders might have noticed that Will Semiconductor Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603501) filed its third-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 2.4% to CN¥111 in the past week. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of CN¥6.8b being 3.4% less than what the analysts had been modelling. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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SHSE:603501 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 28th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Will Semiconductor's 28 analysts is for revenues of CN¥31.6b in 2025. This reflects a sizeable 27% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 75% to CN¥3.74. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥31.6b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥3.73 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥130. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Will Semiconductor at CN¥165 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥80.00. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. The analysts are definitely expecting Will Semiconductor's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 21% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.2% per annum over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 23% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Will Semiconductor is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Will Semiconductor going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see whether Will Semiconductor is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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