Swancor Advanced Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688585) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Swancor Advanced Materials' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 33.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 34x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for Swancor Advanced Materials, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think this good earnings growth might only be parallel to the broader market in the near future. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
SHSE:688585 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 28th 2024 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Swancor Advanced Materials' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Swancor Advanced Materials' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Swancor Advanced Materials' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.2%. EPS has also lifted 19% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 39% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's curious that Swancor Advanced Materials' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Swancor Advanced Materials appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
Our examination of Swancor Advanced Materials revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Swancor Advanced Materials (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Swancor Advanced Materials. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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