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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's (SHSE:688676) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's (SHSE:688676) Earnings

我们认为海南金盘智能科技(SHSE:688676)的收入存在潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  10/28 12:58

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688676) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

海南金盘智能科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688676)宣布盈利强劲,但股票价格一直停滞不前。我们的分析显示,股东们可能已经注意到财报数据中的一些令人担忧的地方。

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SHSE:688676 Earnings and Revenue History October 28th 2024
SHSE:688676 盈利和营业收入历史数据 2024年10月28日

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology expanded the number of shares on issue by 7.1% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

为了了解每股收益潜力,有必要考虑公司对股东的摊薄程度。海南金盘智能科技过去一年发行的股份数量增加了7.1%。因此,现在每股股票所获得的利润份额更少了。谈到净利润而忽略每股收益,就是被大金额数字所迷惑,而忽视了每股价值的小数字。点击这个链接查看海南金盘智能科技的历史EPS增长情况。

How Is Dilution Impacting Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

摊薄如何影响海南金盘智能科技的每股收益(EPS)?

As you can see above, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 146% over three years. In comparison, earnings per share only gained 126% over the same period. And at a glance the 28% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 22% over the same period. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

如上所示,海南金盘智能科技近几年来一直在增加其净利润,过去三年年化增长率达到了146%。相比之下,同一时期EPS仅增长了126%。一瞥最近一年内的利润增长28%确实令人印象深刻。但同期,EPS仅增长了22%。因此,很明显可以看出摊薄正在影响股东的收益。

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

股价变化通常会反映出每股收益的变化,从长期来看。因此,如果海南金盘智能科技能够持续增长EPS,那股东肯定会受益。然而,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能看不到太多好处。出于这个原因,你可以说在长期看来,EPS比净利润更重要,前提是目标是评估一家公司的股价可能会增长。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's net profit by CN¥55m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

最后,我们还应考虑到,飞凡金盘智能科技去年净利润增加了5500万人民币,其中不寻常项目起到了推动作用。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增长,但当不寻常项目做出巨大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们对成千上万家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现,在某一年中由于不寻常项目的推动通常在下一年不会重复。正如你预期的那样,这些推动被描述为“不寻常”。如果飞凡金盘智能科技没有看到这种贡献的重复,那么其他一切相等,我们会预计其利润在当年下降。

Our Take On Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Profit Performance

我们对飞凡金盘智能科技的利润表现看法

In its last report Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we found 3 warning signs for Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology and we think they deserve your attention.

在最近的报告中,飞凡金盘智能科技受益于提升其利润的不寻常项目,这可能使利润在可持续基础上看起来比实际情况更好。此外,稀释意味着其每股收益表现比利润表现更差。考虑到所有这些,我们认为飞凡金盘智能科技的利润可能过分夸大了其可持续盈利水平。因此,虽然收益质量很重要,但同样重要的是考虑当前飞凡金盘智能科技面临的风险。在Simply Wall St,我们发现了飞凡金盘智能科技的3个警示信号,我们认为这值得引起您的注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在本文中,我们看了许多可能损害利润数字实用性的因素,我们持谨慎态度。但还有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司的观点。一些人认为高净资产收益率是高质量企业的好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这里提供的高净资产收益率公司的免费集合,或者这里持有高内部股权的股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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