We Think Zhuhai Huajin Capital (SZSE:000532) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Zhuhai Huajin Capital (SZSE:000532) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000532) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是您是否會遭受永久性資本損失。」因此,聰明的資金都知道,債務(通常涉及破產)是評估公司風險時一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,珠海華金資本股份有限公司(SZSE:000532)確實存在債務。但這筆債務是否會令股東擔憂?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務爲企業提供援助,直到企業無法通過新的資本或自由現金流來償還債務爲止。如果狀況變得極爲糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。雖然這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到由於貸款人強迫受困的企業以危機價格籌集資本,從而永久地稀釋股東。當然,債務可以是企業的重要工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業而言。當我們思考一家企業的債務使用情況時,我們首先會查看現金和債務。
How Much Debt Does Zhuhai Huajin Capital Carry?
珠海華金資本承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, Zhuhai Huajin Capital had CN¥422.7m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥698.6m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥183.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥239.5m.
如您所見,珠海華金資本在2024年9月的債務爲42270萬元人民幣,比前一年的69860萬元人民幣減少。然而,它確實有18320萬元人民幣的現金用以抵消,導致淨債務約爲23950萬元人民幣。
A Look At Zhuhai Huajin Capital's Liabilities
查看華金資本的負債情況
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhuhai Huajin Capital had liabilities of CN¥580.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥214.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥183.2m in cash and CN¥112.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥500.1m.
根據上次披露的資產負債表,華金資本有58080萬人民幣的負債需要在12個月內償還,以及21450萬人民幣的負債需要在12個月後償還。 與此相抵,它有18320萬人民幣的現金和11200萬人民幣的應收賬款需要在12個月內償還。 因此,其負債超過現金和(近期)應收賬款的總和爲50010萬人民幣。
Given Zhuhai Huajin Capital has a market capitalization of CN¥5.16b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
考慮到華金資本市值達到了51.6億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成很大威脅。 話雖如此,顯而易見我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以防狀況變糟。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
BJ批發俱樂部控股公司的淨債務只有EBITDA的0.62倍。而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋其利息費用,比例爲12.6倍。因此,我們對其超級保守的債務使用感到相當放心。雖然BJ批發俱樂部控股公司在EBIT方面沒有取得太多進展,但至少其盈利保持穩定。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯然的切入點。但歸根結底,企業未來的盈利能力將決定BJ批發俱樂部控股公司能否隨着時間的推移加強資產負債表。因此,如果你要關注未來,可以查看一下這份免費的分析報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
Zhuhai Huajin Capital has net debt worth 2.3 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 4.0 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, Zhuhai Huajin Capital's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 30% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Zhuhai Huajin Capital's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
華金資本的淨債務價值相當於EBITDA的2.3倍,這並不算太多,但其利息保障有些低,EBIt僅爲利息支出的4.0倍。 儘管這並不太讓我們擔憂,但它確實表明利息付款有一定負擔。 重要的是,華金資本的EBIt在過去十二個月驚人地下降了30%。 如果這種下降持續下去,償還債務將比在純素食者大會上出售鵝肝更難。 毫無疑問,我們最能從資產負債表中了解債務情況。 但正是華金資本的收益將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。 因此,在考慮債務時,着眼於收益趨勢絕對是值得的。 單擊此處查看交互式快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Zhuhai Huajin Capital produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 62% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,雖然稅務部門可能歡迎會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。 因此,我們明顯需要查看EBIt是否導致相應的自由現金流。 在過去三年中,華金資本產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的62%,與我們的預期相符。 這種自由現金流使公司有能力在適當時償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Zhuhai Huajin Capital's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is relatively strong. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Zhuhai Huajin Capital is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhuhai Huajin Capital that you should be aware of before investing here.
珠海華金資本的EBIt增長率在這次分析中確實是一個負面因素,儘管我們考慮的其他因素讓它呈現出了明顯更好的一面。例如,它將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力相對較強。綜合考慮以上所有方面,我們認爲珠海華金資本這是一個因債務而變成了相對風險投資。並非所有風險都是壞事,如果風險得以化解,它甚至有可能提高股價回報,但這種債務風險值得我們謹記。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表以外的風險。例如,我們發現珠海華金資本有1個警示信號需要您在這裏投資前注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。