Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shanghai Stonehill Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002195) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
What Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology's Debt?
As you can see below, Shanghai Stonehill Technology had CN¥12.0m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥47.0m a year prior. But it also has CN¥6.26b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥6.25b net cash.
How Strong Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Stonehill Technology had liabilities of CN¥227.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥56.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.26b and CN¥267.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥6.25b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This luscious liquidity implies that Shanghai Stonehill Technology's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Simply put, the fact that Shanghai Stonehill Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Stonehill Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, Shanghai Stonehill Technology reported revenue of CN¥617m, which is a gain of 4.5%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
So How Risky Is Shanghai Stonehill Technology?
Although Shanghai Stonehill Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it made a statutory profit of CN¥45m. So taking that on face value, and considering the cash, we don't think its very risky in the near term. We'll feel more comfortable with the stock once EBIT is positive, given the lacklustre revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Shanghai Stonehill Technology has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.