Yotrio Group (SZSE:002489) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Yotrio Group (SZSE:002489) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Yotrio Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002489) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不掩飾地說'最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於你是否會遭受到永久性的資本損失。'因此,聰明的資金都知道負債(通常涉及破產)在評估公司風險時是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,浙江永強股份有限公司(SZSE:002489)確實存在負債。但真正的問題是,這些負債是否使公司變得風險很高。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆償還債務,要麼通過籌措資本,要麼通過自有的現金流時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償付債權人,它可能會破產。 雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司因爲貸方價格低迷而永久稀釋股東。 當然,債務的優點在於它通常代表着廉價的資本,特別是當它取代具有高回報率再投資能力的公司。 當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先看現金和債務的總和。
What Is Yotrio Group's Debt?
浙江永強的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Yotrio Group had debt of CN¥345.5m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.39b over a year. However, it does have CN¥3.13b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥2.78b.
下面的圖片中,您可以單擊以獲得更詳細信息,顯示浙江永強於2024年6月底的債務爲34550萬人民幣,較一年前的13.9億人民幣減少。然而,公司有31.3億人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨現金爲27.8億人民幣。

A Look At Yotrio Group's Liabilities
浙江永強的負債情況
The latest balance sheet data shows that Yotrio Group had liabilities of CN¥2.55b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥84.0m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥3.13b as well as receivables valued at CN¥720.5m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.21b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,浙江永強的一年內到期的負債爲25.5億人民幣,之後到期的負債爲8400萬人民幣。 抵消這些債務的是,它擁有31.3億人民幣的現金以及12個月內到期的價值爲72050萬人民幣的應收賬款。 因此,它比總負債多擁有12.1億人民幣的流動資產。
This excess liquidity suggests that Yotrio Group is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Yotrio Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種過剩的流動性表明浙江永強在處理債務時採取了謹慎的方法。 鑑於其擁有充足的短期流動性,我們認爲它不會與貸款人發生任何問題。 簡而言之,浙江永強擁有比債務更多的現金,這可以被認爲是它可以安全管理債務的一個良好跡象。
In fact Yotrio Group's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 98% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Yotrio Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
事實上,浙江永強的救命稻草是其低債務水平,因爲過去十二個月中它的EBIt下降了98%。 收益下降(如果這一趨勢持續下去)最終可能使即使是小額債務也變得相當風險。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解債務的大部分信息。 但正是浙江永強的收益將影響資產負債表在未來的表現。 因此,如果您想更多地了解其收益情況,不妨查看其長期收益趨勢圖。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Yotrio Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last two years, Yotrio Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
但我們最後考慮的也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙幣利潤償還債務;它需要冰冷的現金。 浙江永強在資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但查看企業將其利潤(利息和稅前利潤)轉化爲自由現金流的能力如何,仍是很有意思的,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。 在過去兩年中,浙江永強實際上產生的自由現金流比EBIt還要多。 當涉及保持償還貸款人的好意時,沒有比進賬現金更好的了。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Yotrio Group has CN¥2.78b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 194% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥135m. So is Yotrio Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Yotrio Group (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
雖然調查一家公司的債務是明智的,但在這種情況下,浙江永強的淨現金爲27.8億人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。錦上添花的是,它將194%的EBIt轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了13500萬元人民幣。那麼,浙江永強的債務是否存在風險呢?在我們看來似乎並不是。資產負債表在分析債務時顯然是要重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都會有這些風險,並且我們已經發現了浙江永強的2個警示信號(其中1個讓我們感到有些不安!)您應該知道的。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。
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