share_log

The Three-year Loss for Changzhou Almaden (SZSE:002623) Shareholders Likely Driven by Its Shrinking Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 29, 2024 10:44

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Changzhou Almaden Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002623) share price up 19% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 48% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

While the stock has risen 13% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Changzhou Almaden saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 27% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 20% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 61.97.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

big
SZSE:002623 Earnings Per Share Growth October 29th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Changzhou Almaden's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 7.4% in the last year, Changzhou Almaden shareholders lost 30% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Changzhou Almaden (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment