Is Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd (SZSE:300482) A Risky Investment?
Is Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd (SZSE:300482) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Guangzhou Wondfo Biotech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300482) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,广州万富生物技术有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所代码:300482)确实有债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
How Much Debt Does Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd Carry?
广州万富生物科技有限公司背负了多少债务?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd had CN¥564.0m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has CN¥2.11b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.55b net cash.
您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图表显示,广州万富生物技术有限公司在2024年9月有56400万元人民币的债务;与前一年大致相同。但它也有21.1元人民币的现金来抵消这一点,这意味着它的净现金为15.5元人民币。
A Look At Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd's Liabilities
看看广州万富生物科技有限公司的负债
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd had liabilities of CN¥504.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥678.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.11b and CN¥960.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.89b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,广州万富生物科技有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为50480万元人民币,在此之后到期的负债为67870万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为21.1元人民币和价值96040万元人民币的应收账款。因此,它的流动资产实际上比总负债多出18.9元人民币。
This surplus suggests that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种盈余表明,广州万富生物技术有限公司正在以一种看似既安全又保守的方式使用债务。鉴于它很容易拥有足够的短期流动性,我们认为其贷款机构不会有任何问题。简而言之,广州万富生物科技有限公司的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd has boosted its EBIT by 38%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
除此之外,我们很高兴地向大家报告,广州万富生物科技有限公司已将其息税前利润提高了38%,从而减少了对未来偿还债务的担忧。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定广州Wondfo BiotechLtd能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd recorded free cash flow worth 51% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的效果仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在最近三年中,鉴于自由现金流不包括利息和税收,广州万富生物科技有限公司录得的自由现金流占其息税前利润的51%,这几乎是正常的。这种冷硬现金意味着它可以在需要时减少债务。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd has CN¥1.55b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 38% over the last year. So we don't think Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Wondfo BiotechLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在本案中,广州万富生物技术有限公司的净现金为15.5元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。去年,它的息税前利润增长了38%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。因此,我们认为广州万富生物技术有限公司使用债务没有风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们发现了广州万富生物科技有限公司的两个警告信号,在投资这里之前,你应该注意这些信号。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。
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