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Optimism for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials (SZSE:300196) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

Optimism for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials (SZSE:300196) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings

近期对长海股份(SZSE:300196)的乐观情绪有所增加,尽管过去五年收益下降。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/29 11:39

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials Co., Ltd (SZSE:300196) share price is up 43% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 16% (ignoring dividends).

一般来说,积极选股的目标是寻找提供高于市场平均回报的公司。买入被低估的企业是获取超额回报的一种途径。例如,最近5年来江苏长海复合材料股份有限公司(SZSE:300196)的股价上涨了43%,明显超过市场回报约16%(不考虑分红)。

Since it's been a strong week for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于江苏长海股份股东度过了强劲的一周,让我们来看看更长期基本面的趋势。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

市场有时候是有效的,但价格并不总是反映公司的基本业务表现。通过比较每股收益和股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的看法如何随着时间变化而变化。

During five years of share price growth, Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials actually saw its EPS drop 7.0% per year.

在股价增长的五年中,江苏长海股份每股收益实际上每年下降了7.0%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

实际上,投资者似乎并没有关注EPS。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得关注其他指标。

The modest 1.2% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 5.7% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.

1.2%的谦虚股息率不太可能支撑股价。相比之下,每年5.7%的营业收入增长可能被视为证明,表明长海股份正在增长,这是一个真正的积极信号。目前很可能管理层正在优先考虑营业收入增长,而不是每股收益增长。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下方图片中看到盈利和营业收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看准确数值)。

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SZSE:300196 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024
SZSE:300196 盈利和营业收入增长2024年10月29日

This free interactive report on Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials' balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想进一步调查该股票,江苏长海复合材料的资产负债表实力这份免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials the TSR over the last 5 years was 51%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

投资者除了衡量股价回报外,还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 TSR是一个回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的股息都已经再投资)以及计算出的任何折价的增资和分拆的价值。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了一个更完整的图片。我们注意到,对于江苏长海复合材料,过去5年的TSR为51%,高于上面提到的股价回报。因此,公司支付的股息已经提升了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials shareholders are down 1.7% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 7.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 9% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Changhai Composite Materials you should know about.

江苏长海复合材料的股东在今年下跌了1.7%(包括分红在内),但市场本身上涨了7.4%。然而,请记住,即使是表现最佳的股票有时也会在十二个月的时间内表现不佳。 光明的一面是,长期股东已经赚到钱,五年多一半的时间内每年增长9%。最近的抛售行为可能是一个机会,所以值得检查基本数据是否显示出长期增长趋势的迹象。 跟踪股价表现长期来看总是很有趣。但要更好地理解江苏长海复合材料,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。 例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现江苏长海复合材料存在2个警告信号,你应该知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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