Investing in Brady (NYSE:BRC) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 43% Gain
Investing in Brady (NYSE:BRC) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 43% Gain
One way to deal with stock volatility is to ensure you have a properly diverse portfolio. Of course, the aim of the game is to pick stocks that do better than an index fund. Brady Corporation (NYSE:BRC) has done well over the last year, with the stock price up 41% beating the market return of 40% (not including dividends). And shareholders have also done well over the long term, with an increase of 37% in the last three years.
处理股票波动的一种方法是确保您拥有一个多样化的投资组合。当然,游戏的目标是挑选表现优于指数基金的股票。Brady公司(纽交所:BRC)过去一年表现不错,股价上涨41%,超过了40%的市场回报(不包括股息)。股东在长期内也表现良好,在过去三年里增长了37%。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
让我们长期看一下潜在的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然一些人仍然相信有效市场假说,但已经证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。一个不完美但简单的方法来考虑公司市场看法的变化是比较每股收益(EPS)的变化和股价的波动。
Brady was able to grow EPS by 16% in the last twelve months. This EPS growth is significantly lower than the 41% increase in the share price. This indicates that the market is now more optimistic about the stock.
Brady成功在过去十二个月内将每股收益增长了16%。这种EPS增长远低于股价上涨的41%,这表明市场现在对这只股票更加乐观。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that Brady has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.
我们知道Brady最近改善了其底线,但它的营业收入会增长吗? 您可以查看这份显示分析师营收预测的免费报告。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Brady's TSR for the last 1 year was 43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报率(TSR)。 TSR包括任何剥离或折价资本募集的价值,以及任何分红,基于分红得到再投资的假设。 因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司,TSR通常比之前提到的股价回报高得多。 正如事实发生的那样,Brady过去1年的TSR为43%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。 并且毫无疑问,股利支付很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
Brady shareholders have received returns of 43% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 7%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Brady that you should be aware of before investing here.
Brady的股东在过去12个月内获得了43%的回报(即使包括分红),这与一般市场回报并无多大差距。 大多数人会对获利感到满意,而且有利于这一年的回报实际上比过去五年的平均回报(7%)要好。即使股价增长从这里放缓,这可能是一家值得长期关注的企业。对我来说,长期观察股价作为业务表现的一种替代方法非常有趣。 但要获得真正的洞见,我们还需要考虑其他信息。 例如,我们发现了1个针对Brady的警告信号,这是您在此投资之前应该注意的。
But note: Brady may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:布雷迪可能不是最好的股票买入选择。因此,查看一下这份免费的有过营业收入增长(以及未来增长预测)的有趣公司名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。