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Bearish: This Analyst Is Revising Their GuiZhou QianYuan Power Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002039) Revenue and EPS Prognostications

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 29, 2024 17:15

Today is shaping up negative for GuiZhou QianYuan Power Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002039) shareholders, with the covering analyst delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analyst has soured majorly on the business.

Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the solitary analyst covering GuiZhou QianYuan Power, is for revenues of CN¥1.9b in 2024, which would reflect a measurable 2.1% reduction in GuiZhou QianYuan Power's sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to swell 19% to CN¥0.71. Before this latest update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of CN¥2.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.17 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

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SZSE:002039 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. One thing that stands out from these estimates is that shrinking revenues are expected to moderate over the period ending 2024 compared to the historical decline of 4.0% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.4% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while it does have declining revenues, the analyst also expect GuiZhou QianYuan Power to suffer worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analyst cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking the analyst is a lot more bearish on GuiZhou QianYuan Power, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2026, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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