The Hoe Leong Corporation Ltd. (SGX:H20) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 50%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 50% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Hoe Leong may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.2x, since almost half of all companies in Singapore have P/E ratios greater than 12x and even P/E's higher than 22x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Hoe Leong has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hoe Leong's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hoe Leong's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 256%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 6.8% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Hoe Leong is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Hoe Leong's P/E?
Hoe Leong's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Hoe Leong revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hoe Leong (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hoe Leong's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.