Despite an already strong run, LingNan Eco&Culture-Tourism Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002717) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 4.5% isn't as impressive.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
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What Does LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 75% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's P/S
The large bounce in LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for LingNan Eco&Culture-TourismLtd you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.