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Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd. Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

丸美股份剛錯過盈利-但分析師已更新他們的模型
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 18:55

It's been a good week for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603983) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest quarterly results, and the shares gained 5.4% to CN¥31.25. Revenues were in line with forecasts, at CN¥600m, although statutory earnings per share came in 14% below what the analysts expected, at CN¥0.16 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

對於丸美股份有限公司(SHSE:603983)的股東來說,這是一個不錯的一週,因爲公司剛剛公佈了最新的季度業績,股價上漲了5.4%,達到31.25人民幣。營業收入符合預期,達到了60000萬元,儘管法定每股收益爲0.16人民幣,比分析師預期的低14%。這對投資者來說是一個重要的時刻,他們可以通過報告追蹤公司的表現,查看專家們對明年的預測,並查看業務預期是否有任何變化。我們認爲讀者會發現看到分析師對明年最新的(法定)盈利預測很有趣。

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SHSE:603983 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 29th 2024
SHSE:603983 2024年10月29日盈利和營業收入增長

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.61b in 2025. This would reflect a major 37% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to shoot up 41% to CN¥1.14. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥3.60b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.16 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a minor downgrade to their earnings per share forecasts.

考慮到最新的結果,丸美生物科技的13位分析師目前的共識是,2025年營業收入預計達到36.1億元。這將反映出過去12個月營業收入的37%的重大增長。法定每股盈利預計將大增41%,達到1.14人民幣。在此報告之前,分析師們一直在對2025年的營業收入預測爲36億元,每股盈利(EPS)爲1.16人民幣。因此,看起來在最近的結果之後,整體情緒有所下降 - 營收預期沒有發生重大變化,但分析師對其盈利預期進行了輕微下調。

The consensus price target held steady at CN¥29.47, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥34.29 and the most bearish at CN¥19.00 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

共識價格目標穩定在29.47人民幣,分析師們似乎認爲他們對較低的預期收益不會導致將來股價下跌。共識價格目標只是各個分析師目標的平均值,因此 - 查看基礎估計範圍有多廣可能會很有幫助。有關丸美生物科技的看法存在一些不同,最看好的分析師認爲其價值爲34.29人民幣,而最看淡的則爲19.00人民幣每股。這些價格目標顯示了分析師對該業務有一些不同的看法,但估計值差異不足以使我們相信有些人在押注狂熱成功或徹底失敗。

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 28% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.3% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 16% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

爲了更深入了解這些預測,可以比較它們與過去的表現以及同行業其他公司的表現。分析師們明顯預計廣東丸美生物科技的增長將加速,預計到2025年底的年增長率爲28%,與過去五年年均增長率7.3%的歷史增長形成有利比較。相比之下,我們的數據顯示,同行業其他公司(受到分析師關注)預計每年收入增長率爲16%。考慮到收入預測加速增長,很明顯廣東丸美生物科技有望比行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥29.47, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

最重要的一點是,分析師們下調了每股收益預期,顯示出這些結果後市情緒明顯下滑。令人欣慰的是,營業收入預測沒有發生重大變化,業務仍預計增速快於更廣泛的行業。一致的價格目標保持在29.47元人民幣,最新的預估不足以對其價格目標產生影響。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

記住,我們仍然認爲業務的長期軌跡對投資者來說更爲重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對廣東丸美生物科技到2026年的分析師估值範圍有全面的數據,您可以免費在我們的平台上查看。

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangdong Marubi Biotechnology you should know about.

那麼風險呢?每家公司都存在風險,我們已經發現了廣東丸美生物科技的2個警告信號,您應該了解。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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