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Shandong Longhua New Material's (SZSE:301149) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

Shandong Longhua New Material's (SZSE:301149) Solid Earnings May Rest On Weak Foundations

山东龙华新材料(SZSE:301149)的稳健收益可能建立在脆弱的基础之上
Simply Wall St ·  10/29 19:14

The recent earnings posted by Shandong Longhua New Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301149) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

山东隆华新材料股份有限公司(SZSE:301149)最近公布的收益稳健,但股票的波动没有达到我们的预期。我们相信股东已经注意到一些令人担忧的因素,超出了法定利润数字。

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SZSE:301149 Earnings and Revenue History October 29th 2024
SZSE:301149 2024年10月29日收益和营业收入历史数据

A Closer Look At Shandong Longhua New Material's Earnings

深度分析山东隆华新材料的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

很多投资者没有听说过现金流量的应计比率,但它实际上是一个衡量公司利润在一个给定期间内由自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,首先我们需要从一个期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。该比率显示公司利润超过FCF的多少。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当一家公司的应计项目比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计项目比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计项目比率为正,但值得注意的是,当应计项目比率相当高时,可能会导致利润或利润增长降低。

For the year to September 2024, Shandong Longhua New Material had an accrual ratio of 0.23. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥161m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥209.1m. We also note that Shandong Longhua New Material's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥161m.

截至2024年9月,山东隆华新材料的计提比率为0.23。因此,我们可以推断其自由现金流远不够以覆盖其法定利润。过去一年,其实际自由现金流实际上为负16100万人民币,相比之下利润为20910万人民币。我们还注意到山东隆华新材料的自由现金流去年也为负数,所以我们可以理解股东是否因其流出16100万人民币而感到不安。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Shandong Longhua New Material's Profit Performance

我们对山东龙华新材料的盈利表现进行了评估

Shandong Longhua New Material didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Shandong Longhua New Material's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. And we are pleased to note that EPS is at least heading in the right direction in the alst twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shandong Longhua New Material (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

在过去一年里,山东龙华新材料并未将其利润转化为太多的自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这相当不理想。因此,我们认为山东龙华新材料的真实基本盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定盈利。我们很高兴地注意到,每股收益至少在过去十二个月内是朝着正确的方向发展的。本文的目标是评估我们能否依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多值得考虑的地方。请记住,当涉及分析股票时,值得注意涉及的风险。因此,您应该了解我们在山东龙华新材料发现的3个警示信号(其中有一个有点令人担忧)。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shandong Longhua New Material's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我们紧盯一个单一数据点,以更好地理解山东龙华新材料的盈利性质。但如果您能专注于细枝末节,总有更多发现。有些人认为良好的净资产收益率是优质企业的良好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些拥有高净资产收益率的公司的免费收藏,或者这些拥有高内部持股的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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