The JHT Design Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603061) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 34%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.2% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, JHT DesignLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 34x and even P/E's lower than 20x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
JHT DesignLtd has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on JHT DesignLtd.Is There Enough Growth For JHT DesignLtd?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, JHT DesignLtd would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 32%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 62% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 120% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 38% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why JHT DesignLtd is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Bottom Line On JHT DesignLtd's P/E
JHT DesignLtd's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that JHT DesignLtd maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with JHT DesignLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
You might be able to find a better investment than JHT DesignLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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