Despite an already strong run, Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300147) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 101% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 159% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may consider Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 3.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 25% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 229% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S
The large bounce in Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.