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A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603959) 25% Share Price Climb

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 30 18:31

Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&Tech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603959) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 69% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, considering almost half of all companies in the Construction industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.2x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:603959 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 30th 2024

How Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd Has Been Performing

For instance, Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 47% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 76% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 15% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hunan Baili Engineering Sci&TechLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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