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Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share (SZSE:301429) Is Posting Solid Earnings, But It Is Not All Good News

Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share (SZSE:301429) Is Posting Solid Earnings, But It Is Not All Good News

安徽森泰WPC集团(SZSE:301429)盈利稳健,但并非所有都是好消息
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 07:49

Shareholders were pleased with the recent earnings report from Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301429). Despite this, we feel that there are some reasons to be cautious with these earnings.

股东们对安徽森泰WPC集团股份有限公司(SZSE:301429)最近的收益报告感到高兴。尽管如此,我们认为这些收益存在一些值得警惕的原因。

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SZSE:301429 Earnings and Revenue History October 30th 2024
SZSE:301429的历史收益和营业收入 2024年10月30日

A Closer Look At Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share's Earnings

仔细观察安徽森泰WPC集团股份的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如财务控制狂所知,从现金流中的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,并将结果除以公司在该时间内的平均经营资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少不受自由现金流支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。

For the year to September 2024, Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share had an accrual ratio of 0.52. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥290m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥65.5m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥290m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年9月的一年时间里,安徽森泰WPC集团股份的计提比例为0.52。从统计数据来看,这对未来的收益是真正的负面影响。换句话说,在那段时间内公司并没有产生任何自由现金流。过去一年中,它实际上是自由现金流为负的29000万人民币,与前述的6550万人民币利润形成鲜明对比。在去年自由现金流为负的基础上,我们可以想象,一些股东可能会怀疑,今年它的现金燃烧达到29000万人民币,是否表明存在高风险。话虽如此,事情还有更多值得探讨的地方。我们可以看到,一些飞凡项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了计提比例。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。 点击此处查看我们对安徽森泰WPC集团股份资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥23m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

考虑到应计比率,安徽Sentai WPC集团股份的利润在过去十二个月中得到了价值2300万人民币的飞凡项目的推动。 尽管我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当飞凡项目做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更谨慎。 我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目往往具有一次性特征,这并不奇怪,鉴于其名称。 相对于2024年9月的利润来看,安徽Sentai WPC集团股份从飞凡项目中获得了相当重要的贡献。 因此,我们可以推断,飞凡项目使其法定利润比原本强大得多。

Our Take On Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share's Profit Performance

我们对安徽Sentai WPC集团股份的利润表现的看法

Summing up, Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. If you want to do dive deeper into Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Anhui Sentai WPC Group Share (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

总的来说,安徽Sentai WPC集团股份从飞凡项目中获得了利润的不错提升,但无法用自由现金流匹配其名义利润。 综上所述,上述因素让我们强烈感觉到,从法定利润数字来看,安徽Sentai WPC集团股份的基础盈利能力并不像表面所示那么好。 如果想深入了解安徽Sentai WPC集团股份,还应考虑其当前面临的风险。 每家公司都存在风险,我们已发现安徽Sentai WPC集团股份有3个预警信号(其中2个有点令人不快!)你应该知道。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们已经看到了许多可以削弱利润数字实用性的因素,并且我们留下了审慎的心态。但是,如果您能够专注于细节,那么总能发现更多。一些人认为高股东回报率是优质企业的良好迹象。尽管这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个高股东回报率公司列表或至少有一个重要内部持股的股票列表对您有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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