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Analysts Just Made A Major Revision To Their Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376) Revenue Forecasts

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 30 20:09

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605376), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

Following the downgrade, the most recent consensus for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock from its three analysts is for revenues of CN¥1.2b in 2025 which, if met, would be a sizeable 29% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to soar 343% to CN¥0.68. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥1.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.75 in 2025. Indeed, we can see that analyst sentiment has declined measurably after the new consensus came out, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to EPS estimates to boot.

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SHSE:605376 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the CN¥23.00 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. The analysts are definitely expecting Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 23% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 7.2% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.4% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock. While analysts did downgrade their revenue estimates, these forecasts still imply revenues will perform better than the wider market. Overall, given the drastic downgrade to next year's forecasts, we'd be feeling a little more wary of Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock going forwards.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Jiangsu Boqian New Materials Stock analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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