share_log

It's Down 35% But Archosaur Games Inc. (HKG:9990) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 30 20:13

Archosaur Games Inc. (HKG:9990) shares have retraced a considerable 35% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 30% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Archosaur Games' P/S ratio of 1.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong is also close to 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

big
SEHK:9990 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 31st 2024

What Does Archosaur Games' Recent Performance Look Like?

Archosaur Games certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Archosaur Games.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Archosaur Games' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 44% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 19% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 29% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 14%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Archosaur Games' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Archosaur Games' P/S

Archosaur Games' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Archosaur Games' P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Archosaur Games you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment