We Think That There Are More Issues For Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) Than Just Sluggish Earnings
We Think That There Are More Issues For Hangjin Technology (SZSE:000818) Than Just Sluggish Earnings
The market rallied behind Hangjin Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000818) stock, leading do a rise in the share price after its recent weak earnings report. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.
市場在航錦科技股份有限公司(深交所代碼:000818)的股票支持下反彈,股價在其近期疲軟的盈利報告後上漲。雖然股東可能願意忽視利潤數字的疲軟,但我們認爲,他們也應該考慮到一些其他可能引起擔憂的因素。

Zooming In On Hangjin Technology's Earnings
聚焦航錦科技的盈利情況
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
正如財務愛好者們所知,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率通過將特定時期的FCF從利潤中減去,並將結果除以公司在該期間的平均營運資產來計算。該比率顯示出公司的利潤超出其FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,公司的負應計比率實際上被視爲一件好事,而正應計比率則被視爲一件壞事。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正應計比率,但值得注意的是,當應計比率相對較高時。引用2014年Lewellen和Resutek的論文:"應計額較高的公司未來往往利潤較低"。
Hangjin Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.41 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥76.7m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥1.8b in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥229m a year ago though, so Hangjin Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Hangjin Technology's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
航錦科技截至2024年9月的累計比率爲0.41。一般來說,這對未來的盈利能力預示着不利。具體來說,該公司在此期間沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管報告的利潤爲7670萬人民幣,但自由現金流的情況顯示它實際上在過去一年中消耗了18億人民幣。不過,我們注意到一年前的自由現金流爲2億2900萬人民幣,因此航錦科技過去至少能夠產生正的自由現金流。對股東來說好消息是,航錦科技去年的累計比率要好得多,因此今年疲軟的讀數可能僅僅是利潤和自由現金流之間短期不匹配的結果。如果確實如此,股東應該關注當前年度現金流相對於利潤的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hangjin Technology.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對航錦科技資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Hangjin Technology's Profit Performance
我們對航錦科技的盈利表現持什麼看法
As we discussed above, we think Hangjin Technology's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Hangjin Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Hangjin Technology as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 4 warning signs for Hangjin Technology (3 are a bit concerning!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
如我們上面所討論的,我們認爲航錦科技的盈利並沒有得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會讓一些投資者感到擔憂。 因此,我們認爲航錦科技的潛在盈利能力可能低於其法定利潤。 更糟糕的消息是,去年其每股收益下降。 最終,若想要正確理解公司,考慮的不僅僅是以上因素是至關重要的。 如果您想了解更多有關航錦科技的業務,意識到它面臨的任何風險也很重要。 我們的分析顯示航錦科技有4個警告信號(其中3個令人擔憂!),我們強烈建議您在投資之前查看這些。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hangjin Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
這份報告僅關注了一個影響航錦科技利潤性質的單一因素。 但是,如果您能夠專注於細節,始終會有更多的發現。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率是良好商業經濟的標誌,而其他人則喜歡「追蹤資金」,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。因此,您可能希望查看這份免費收藏的高股本回報率公司,或者查看這份內部持股比例高的股票名單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。