FriendLtd's (SHSE:605050) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
FriendLtd's (SHSE:605050) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
A lackluster earnings announcement from Friend Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:605050) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
Zooming In On FriendLtd's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to September 2024, FriendLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.22. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥579m despite its profit of CN¥325.4m, mentioned above. We also note that FriendLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥579m.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of FriendLtd.
Our Take On FriendLtd's Profit Performance
FriendLtd didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that FriendLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with FriendLtd (including 1 which can't be ignored).
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of FriendLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.