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YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002120) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002120) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

韻達股份有限公司(SZSE:002120)第三季度業績:分析師對明年的預測
Simply Wall St ·  10/31 19:21

YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002120) defied analyst predictions to release its third-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 3.6% to hit CN¥12b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at CN¥0.12, some 3.1% above whatthe analysts had expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on YUNDA Holding after the latest results.

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SZSE:002120 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 31st 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for YUNDA Holding from 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥55.6b in 2025. If met, it would imply a notable 17% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 25% to CN¥0.81. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥55.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.81 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CN¥8.74, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on YUNDA Holding, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥11.20 and the most bearish at CN¥6.60 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the YUNDA Holding's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that YUNDA Holding's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 13% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 9.0% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 10% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that YUNDA Holding is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at CN¥8.74, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on YUNDA Holding. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple YUNDA Holding analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Even so, be aware that YUNDA Holding is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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