China Nonferrous Mining (HKG:1258) Could Easily Take On More Debt
China Nonferrous Mining (HKG:1258) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited (HKG:1258) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍华德·马克斯说得很好,与其担心股价波动,‘永久性损失的可能性才是我担心的风险...我认识的每一个实践投资者都在担心这个。’因此,明智的资金知道,债务(通常与破产有关)是评估公司风险时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到中国有色矿业股份有限公司(HKG:1258)的业务确实使用债务。但这种债务是否令股东担忧?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务在企业遇到付不起的困难时会提供帮助,要么通过新资本,要么通过自由现金流。资本主义的一个重要组成部分是‘创造性破坏’的过程,失败的企业会被银行无情清算。虽然这并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为贷款人强迫他们以低价筹集资本而导致股东永久性稀释。当然,债务在企业中可以是一个重要的工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务考虑在一起。
What Is China Nonferrous Mining's Debt?
中国有色矿业的债务是什么?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Nonferrous Mining had debt of US$160.7m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from US$482.9m over a year. However, it does have US$1.04b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$877.1m.
下面的图片(点击可放大查看)显示,中国有色矿业在2024年6月底的债务为16070万元美元,比一年前的48290万元美元有所减少。然而,该公司拥有10.4亿美元的现金抵消这一部分债务,导致净现金为87710万元美元。
How Healthy Is China Nonferrous Mining's Balance Sheet?
中国有色矿业的资产负债表健康状况如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, China Nonferrous Mining had liabilities of US$1.18b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$219.9m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.04b as well as receivables valued at US$539.2m due within 12 months. So it can boast US$181.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近公布的资产负债表,中国有色矿业的负债中有11.8亿美元在12个月内到期,21990万美元在12个月后到期。 抵消这些义务,其现金为10.4亿美元,应收账款价值53920万美元在12个月内到期。 因此,其比总负债多出18110万美元的流动资产。
This short term liquidity is a sign that China Nonferrous Mining could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, China Nonferrous Mining boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性表明,中国有色矿业可能很容易偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远非过分紧张。简而言之,中国有色矿业拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有沉重的债务负担!
Another good sign is that China Nonferrous Mining has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Nonferrous Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
另一个好迹象是,中国有色矿业在十二个月内成功将EBIt增加了29%,这让偿还债务变得更加容易。当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定中国有色矿业是否能随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的盈利预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While China Nonferrous Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, China Nonferrous Mining produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,一家公司只能用硬通货现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。虽然中国有色矿业的资产负债表上有净现金,但值得一看的是其将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度。 在过去的三年中,中国有色矿业产生了稳固的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的75%,这正是我们预期的。 这份自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时期偿还债务。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China Nonferrous Mining has US$877.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 29% over the last year. So is China Nonferrous Mining's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Nonferrous Mining , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然调查一家公司的债务通常是明智的,但在这种情况下,中国有色矿业的净现金为87710万美元,资产负债表看起来不错。去年的EBIt增长达到了29%,给我们留下了深刻印象。那么,中国有色矿业的债务风险如何?在我们看来似乎并非如此。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内 - 相反,我们已经识别出中国有色矿业的2个警告信号,了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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