We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In JirFine Intelligent Equipment's (SZSE:301603) Earnings
We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In JirFine Intelligent Equipment's (SZSE:301603) Earnings
The recent earnings posted by JirFine Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301603) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.
Zooming In On JirFine Intelligent Equipment's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to September 2024, JirFine Intelligent Equipment had an accrual ratio of 0.20. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥51m despite its profit of CN¥199.3m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that JirFine Intelligent Equipment generated positive FCF of CN¥53m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of JirFine Intelligent Equipment.
Our Take On JirFine Intelligent Equipment's Profit Performance
JirFine Intelligent Equipment didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that JirFine Intelligent Equipment's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 8.4% in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing JirFine Intelligent Equipment at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for JirFine Intelligent Equipment you should be mindful of and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of JirFine Intelligent Equipment's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.