Newtechwood's (SZSE:301588) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
Newtechwood's (SZSE:301588) Weak Earnings May Only Reveal A Part Of The Whole Picture
Newtechwood Corporation's (SZSE:301588) stock showed strength, with investors undeterred by its weak earnings report. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.
新科技木有限公司(SZSE:301588)的股票表現強勁,投資者並未因其疲弱的盈利報告而氣餒。雖然股東可能願意忽視較軟的利潤數字,但我們認爲他們也應該考慮一些可能令人擔憂的其他因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Newtechwood's Earnings
檢視現金流與新科技木的盈利情況
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如財務控制狂所知,從現金流中的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。應計比率從給定期間的FCF中減去利潤,並將結果除以公司在該時間內的平均經營資產。該比率告訴我們公司利潤中有多少不受自由現金流支持。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
這意味着負面預提比率是一件好事,因爲它表明公司所獲得的自由現金流比其利潤所示的要多。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正面的預提比率,但值得注意的是,如果預提比率很高的話就要考慮這個問題。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文:「預提較高的公司未來的盈利能力較低」。
Newtechwood has an accrual ratio of 0.42 for the year to September 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥59.2m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥327m in the last year. We also note that Newtechwood's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥327m.
新科技木在截至2024年9月的年度中,權責發生制比率爲0.42。從統計學角度來看,這對於未來的收益而言是個真正的負面因素。實際上,在此期間,該公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。儘管其報告的利潤爲CN¥5920萬,但查看自由現金流顯示,實際上在去年它消耗了CN¥32700萬。我們還注意到,新科技木去年的自由現金流實際上也是負值,因此我們可以理解如果股東對其流出CN¥32700萬感到不安。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Newtechwood.
備註:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊此處以查看我們對新科技木的資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Newtechwood's Profit Performance
我們對於Newtechwood的盈利表現的看法
As we discussed above, we think Newtechwood's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Newtechwood's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Newtechwood you should be mindful of and 1 of these shouldn't be ignored.
正如我們上面所討論的,我們認爲Newtechwood的盈利未得到自由現金流的支持,這可能會引起一些投資者的擔憂。 因此,我們認爲Newtechwood的基本盈利能力可能低於其法定利潤。 不幸的是,其每股收益在過去的十二個月裏有所下降。 畢竟,如果想要正確理解這家公司,考慮的不僅僅是上述因素是至關重要的。 請記住,在分析股票時,要注意相關風險。 舉個例子:我們發現了Newtechwood的兩個警告信號,你應該留意其中一個不應被忽視。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Newtechwood's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天我們聚焦於一個數據點,以更好地理解Newtechwood的利潤性質。 但是還有很多其他方式可以幫助你形成對公司的看法。 有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的良好標誌。 所以你可能希望查看這份顯示高股本回報率的公司免費彙編,或者這份擁有高內部持股的股票名單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。