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Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) Third-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

海信家电股有限公司(SZSE:000921)第三季度业绩:分析师对明年的预测
Simply Wall St ·  11/02 06:01

Hisense Home Appliances Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000921) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 4.2% to CN¥28.03 in the week after its latest third-quarter results. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of CN¥22b and statutory earnings per share of CN¥0.57 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Hisense Home Appliances Group is executing in line with expectations. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

海信家电股份有限公司(SZSE:000921)的股东可能会感到有点失望,因为其股价在最新第三季度业绩公布后的一周下跌了4.2%,跌至28.03人民币。整体而言,这是一个可靠的业绩,营业收入为220亿元,每股收益为0.57元,与分析师预期一致,显示海信家电股份有限公司正在按照预期执行。在公布业绩后,分析师已更新了他们的盈利模型,了解他们是否认为公司前景发生了强烈变化,还是一切如常将是很重要的。因此,我们收集了最新的业绩后预测,以了解分析师对明年的估计。

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SZSE:000921 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 1st 2024
SZSE:000921 2024年11月1日收益和营业收入增长

Following the latest results, Hisense Home Appliances Group's 14 analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥103.1b in 2025. This would be a solid 13% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 18% to CN¥2.75. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥103.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.76 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

根据最新的结果,海信家电股份有限公司的14位分析师预测2025年营业收入将达到1031亿元。这相对于过去12个月的收入将增长13%。每股收益预计将增长18%,达到2.75元。在此次盈利公告之前,分析师预计2025年营业收入为1035亿元,每股收益为2.76元。共识分析师似乎没有从这些结果中看到任何能改变他们对业务的看法,因为他们的预测并没有发生重大变化。

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at CN¥35.90. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Hisense Home Appliances Group at CN¥40.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥32.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

因此并不奇怪,了解到共识目标价格基本保持在35.90元。不过,还有另一种考虑价格目标的方式,那就是查看分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为广泛的估算范围可能代表着对企业可能结果的不同看法。目前,最看好的分析师认为海信家电股份有限公司每股价值40.00元,而最看淡的认为每股价值32.00元。较窄的估值范围可能意味着业务的未来相对容易估值,或者分析师对其前景有着强烈看法。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Hisense Home Appliances Group's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 10% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 18% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 8.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it looks like Hisense Home Appliances Group is forecast to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

当然,观察这些预测的另一种方式是将其放入行业背景中进行对比。很明显,预计海信家电股的营业收入增长将大幅放缓,到2025年底预计年均增长率为10%。这与过去五年18%的历史增长率相比。将其与行业中其他接受分析师覆盖的公司相比,预计这些公司的营业收入(总体上)将每年增长8.6%。考虑到增长放缓的预测,看起来海信家电股的增长速度预计与整个行业差不多。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Happily, there were no real changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,没有明显的情绪变化,分析师重新确认公司的每股收益估算与之前的估算相符。令人欣慰的是,营业收入预测没有明显变化,公司仍然预计与整个行业一同增长。共识价值目标没有实质性的变化,表明业务的内在价值在最新的估算中没有经历任何重大变化。

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hisense Home Appliances Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

在继续这种思路后,我们认为企业的长期前景比明年的收入更为重要。在Simply Wall St,我们对海信家电股截至2026年的完整一系列分析师预估,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hisense Home Appliances Group that you should be aware of.

然而,在你过于兴奋之前,我们发现了一个海信家电股的警告信号,您应该注意。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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