Dynamic Holdings' (HKG:29) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Dynamic Holdings' (HKG:29) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Dynamic Holdings Limited's (HKG:29) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.
Examining Cashflow Against Dynamic Holdings' Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
For the year to June 2024, Dynamic Holdings had an accrual ratio of 1.18. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of HK$41m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of HK$5.35b. It's worth noting that Dynamic Holdings generated positive FCF of HK$17m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for Dynamic Holdings shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Dynamic Holdings.
Our Take On Dynamic Holdings' Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Dynamic Holdings didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Dynamic Holdings' statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Dynamic Holdings at this point in time. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for Dynamic Holdings and you'll want to know about it.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Dynamic Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.